The Neo Physiocracy

H.H. Chartrand

April 2002

Exhibit 3: Technological Transfer Space

Exhibit 4: Two Views of Normative and Exploratory Forecasting

Exhibit 5: Integration of Forecasting Techniques

 

Exhibit 3

TECHNOLOGICAL TRANSFER SPACE 

 

 

TECHNOLOGICAL TRANSFER LEVEL

EXAMPLE: semi-conductor technology

Impact Levels

VIII. Society

VII.  Social System

VI.   Environments

V.    Applications

VIII. Implications of communication for society

VII.   Defense and other national aspects of communication

VI.    Communications sector of industry

V.      Markets for communications systems

Development Levels

IV.   Functional Technological System

III.    Elementary Technology

II.     Technological Resources

I.       Scientific Resources

IV.     Solid-state communications systems and functional sub-systems

III.      Solid-state technology, integrated circuit technology, etc.

II.        Diffusion techniques, planar techniques, etc.

I.         Recognition of the natural phenomenon of semi-conduction;

                “majority” and “minority” carrier concepts, etc.

Direction of Progress

 

derived from Jantsch, E., Technological Forecasting in Perspective,

OECD, Paris 1967, p. 24-25.

 

Exhibit 4

TWO VIEWS OF NORMATIVE & EXPLORATORY FORECASTING

derived from Jantsch, E., Technological Forecasting in Perspective,

OECD, Paris 1967, pp. 30-31.

 

Exhibit 5

INTEGRATION OF FORECASTING TECHNIQUES

derived from Jantsch, E., Technological Forecasting in Perspective,

OECD, Paris 1967, p. 113.