H.H. Chartrand
April 2002
Exhibit 3: Technological Transfer Space
Exhibit 4: Two Views of Normative and Exploratory Forecasting
Exhibit 5: Integration of Forecasting Techniques
TECHNOLOGICAL TRANSFER SPACE

|
TECHNOLOGICAL
TRANSFER
LEVEL |
EXAMPLE | |
|
Impact Levels |
VIII. Society VII.
Social System VI.
Environments V.
Applications |
VIII. Implications of communication for
society VII.
Defense and other national aspects of
communication VI. Communications
sector of industry V. Markets
for communications systems |
|
Development Levels |
IV.
Functional Technological System III. Elementary
Technology II. Technological
Resources I.
Scientific Resources |
IV. Solid-state
communications systems and functional sub-systems III. Solid-state
technology, integrated circuit technology, etc. II.
Diffusion techniques, planar techniques, etc. I.
Recognition of the natural phenomenon of semi-conduction;
“majority” and “minority” carrier concepts,
etc. |
|
Direction of
Progress | ||
derived from Jantsch, E., Technological Forecasting in Perspective,
OECD, Paris 1967, p. 24-25.
TWO VIEWS OF NORMATIVE & EXPLORATORY FORECASTING


derived from Jantsch, E., Technological Forecasting in Perspective,
OECD, Paris 1967, pp. 30-31.
INTEGRATION OF FORECASTING TECHNIQUES

derived from Jantsch, E., Technological Forecasting in Perspective,
OECD, Paris 1967, p. 113.