The Competitiveness of Nations
in a Global Knowledge-Based Economy
H.H. Chartrand
April 2002
The Neo Physiocracy
BIOLOGY, ECONOMICS & EPISTEMOLOGY
Part II
Industrial Dynamics (cont'd)
|
Part II Index |
|
a) Demand b) Supply 2.0 Structure a) Bilateral Relations b) Intellectual Property i - Economic Evolution of Intellectual Property
ii - iii - European Union iv - United States v - WTO vi - WIPO |
2.01 Structure refers
to the organizational characteristics of an industry or market, e.g., the number
and nature of buyers and sellers.
Structure is affected by the basic conditions of supply and demand in the
industry. As noted by Phillips and
Khachatourians (2001) about development of genetically modified canola in
Canadian agricultural biotech, there has been significant structural evolution
of the sector over a relatively short period of time. In general, the biotechnology sector, on
the production or supply-side, is currently dominated by five distinct yet
interactive agents: universities (including teaching hospitals), innovators (or
“stars”), newly founded small- to medium-sized biotechnology firms (NBFs), large
well-established firms (especially agro-chemical, seed and pharmaceutical
companies) and the public sector (government). Collectively they function like a
network with each agent specializing in a particular phase of biotech research,
development and marketing (Auroa and Gambardella 1990). In addition there are trade associations
and other professional societies that are active, e.g., Biotechnology Industrial
Organization (a U.S.-based advocacy group)
http://www.bio.org/.
2.02 The original work
leading to modern biotechnology took place within universities (e.g., Watson and
Crick’s identification of the DNA helix at
2.03
Within the university there
are leading researchers or ‘stars’ who play a significant role as innovators
within the biotechnology sector of the economy. Of some 207 biotech ‘stars’ identified
by Zucker et al, 158 (76%) were
resident in universities, 44 (21%) in research institutes and only 5 (3%) in
commercial firms (Zucker et al 1998:
293). Like Watson, Crick and Berg
such ‘stars’ have the talent, knowledge and experience that leads them to new
insights and breakthroughs. Their
high profile tends to attract the best students who, in turn, become the ‘stars’
of the next generation. They
also tend to attract the attention of the large well established firms.
2.04
It has been argued, using a
life-cycle model, that most scientists invest in developing a reputation early
in their careers usually through publication in journals that signal the value
of their knowledge to the scientific community. With maturity they seek ways to
appropriate the economic value of their knowledge, e.g. through consultancy,
work (full- or part-time) with established enterprise outside of the university
or by joining or establishing a new firm (Audretsch and Stephan 1999). This appears to be especially true in
biotechnology.
2.05
In the case of ‘scientific
founders’ of new firms in pharmaceutical biotechnology some 50% followed the
academic trajectory; 28% established their careers with large pharmaceutical
companies; 13% followed a mix of the two while 6% established firms immediately
following their academic training (Audretsch and Stephan 1998). It has also been argued that many new
biotech firms are founded with the specific intent of selling them to large
established firms (Arora and Gambardella 1990, p. 362).
2.06
According to Zucker et al (1998) the number of American
companies actively engaged in biotechnology grew from virtually none in 1967 to
751 by 1990. Of these 511 or 68%
were new entrants, 150 incumbents (20%), and 90 (12%) including 18 joint
ventures that could not be formally classified. Furthermore, by 1990, 52 (7%) of the 751
had died or merged with other firms (Zucker et al 1998: 292). Zucker et al do not provide evidence regarding
the size or concentration ratios for biotech firms.
2.07
Using a different data set,
Biotechnology Industrial Organization (a U.S.-based advocacy group) reports
there were 1,311 biotech firms in 1995 increasing 5% to 1,379 in 2001 (Table
1). More significantly market
capitalization of biotechnology firms increased 700% from $US 41 billion in 1995
to $US 339 billion in 2001. With
respect to firm size, the average biotech firm increased from a capitalization
of about $US 31 million in 1995 to $240 million in 2001.
United States Biotechnology Industry
1993-2001
Year
2001
2000
1999
1998 1997 1996 1995
Sales*
18.1 16.1
14.5 13
10.8 9.3
7.7
Revenues*
25.0 22.3
20.2 17.4
14.6 12.7 11.2
R&D Expense*
13.8 10.7
10.6 9
7.9
7.7
7
Net Loss*
5.8
5.6
4.4
4.1
4.5
4.6
4.1
Market Capitalization*
330.8
353.5
137.9
93 83
52
41
Number of Public Companies 339
300
316
317
294
260
265
Number of Companies
1,379
1,273
1,311
1,274 1,287 1,308 1,311
Employees (‘000)
174
162
155
141
118
108
103
*
$
Source:
Biotechnology Industrial Organization, 2002,
http://www.bio.org/er/statistics.asp
2.08
At this time it is not
possible to estimate the impact of the late 2001 stock market meltdown (collapse
of the dot.com economy) on market capitalization of biotech firms. However, the National Venture Capital
Association reported that biotech start-ups raised about $4.3-billion through
the first three quarters of 2001, compared with about $5.2-billion in the first
three quarters of 2000. While this represented
a 17-per-cent drop year-over-year, biotech financing compared favourably to
overall venture funding of privately held companies which fell 63 per cent
between the first three quarters of 2000 and the first three quarters of 2001
(Reuters, January 16, 2002).
2.09
In
Canadian Key Industry Data by Company Size,
1997
($Cdn Millions)
|
|
Small (1-50) |
Medium |
Large
(151+) |
Total |
|
No. of
Firms |
204 |
43 |
35 |
282 |
|
Biotech
Sales |
$183 |
$137 |
$698 |
$1,017 |
|
Other
Revenue |
$49 |
$47 |
$23 |
$119 |
|
Biotech
Revenue |
$231 |
$183 |
$721 |
$1,135 |
|
R&D |
$192 |
$153 |
$240 |
$585 |
|
Exports |
$95 |
$43 |
$275 |
$413 |
|
Employees |
3,125 |
2,397 |
4,302 |
9,823 |
|
Unfilled
Positions |
1,031 |
281 |
587 |
1,899 |
|
Total |
4,155 |
2,678 |
4,890 |
11,723 |
Source: BIOTECanada, Canadian Biotechnology’98, Success from Excellence,
1999.
2.10
By sector, 46% of reporting
Canadian biotech firms were engaged in health care; 22% in agriculture; 11% in
environment; 7% in food processing; 4% in aquaculture; 3% in bio-informatics;
and 7% could not be classified (Table 3).
Canadian Key Industry
Data by Sector, 1997
(Per Cent)
|
|
Companies |
Biotech |
R&D |
Exports |
|
Health
Care |
46 |
50 |
87 |
58 |
|
Agriculture |
22 |
23 |
5 |
21 |
|
Environment |
11 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
|
Food |
7 |
21 |
2 |
18 |
|
Aquaculture |
4 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
Bio- |
3 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
|
Other |
7 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
|
Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
Source: BlOTECanada, Canadian Biotechnology ‘98, Success from Excellence,
1999
d) Large Firms
2.11 Reliable data about large biotech firms is available only for agro-biotechnology, specifically plant biotech (Table 4). Drawing on work by Brennan et al (2000), Fulton and Giannakas (2001) indicate that the 4 largest firms accounted for 100% of plant biotech activity with one company, Pharmacia, accounting for 88% of all activity in 1998. No estimates were provided regarding the value of plant biotech activity by the 4 dominant firms.
2.12 The trend towards increased concentration is also indicated by merger and acquisition activity of the major firms (Table 5). The ten largest firms in 1998 were involved in 205 consolidations of one form or another of which 68% (140) were acquisitions; 5% (11) were mergers, 6% (13) were joint ventures, and 21% (41) were other forms of industrial consolidation.
2.13 While data is not
available for the pharmaceutical industry, the other major player in
biotechnology, the overlap with agro-biotechnology is suggestive that a similar
level of concentration and consolidation is probably taking place in that
sub-sector of biotechnology.
Thus Pharmacia (Monsanto), DuPont, Bayer, Dow and others, listed in
Tables 4 and 5, are also active in pharmaceuticals.
World Sales of Top Ten Pesticide and Seed Companies
1997-1999
(Fulton and Giannakas,
2001)
Company
1997
1997
1999
1998
Pesticides
Seed
Seed
Plant
Biotech
Millions
$US
DuPont (Pioneer)
Pharmacia (Monsanto)
Syngenta (Novartis)
Groupe Limagrain
(
Grupo Pulsar (Seminis)
Advanta (AstraZeneca and Cosun)
2,674
437
416
—
Sakata (
KWS AG (
Dow
Adventis Group (Hoechst/Rhone-Poulenc)
4,554
—
—
8%
Bayer
2,254
—
—
—
American Home Products
2,119
—
—
—
BASF
1,855
—
—
—
Sumitomo
717
—
—
—
Agribiotech
—
425
—
—
KWS
—
329
—
—
Takii
—
300
—
—
Total World Sales
30,900
23,000
24,700
—
CR4
47%
23%
21%
100%
CR10
85%
32%
31%
100%
Note. From "Impact of Industry Concentration on
Innovation in the
Consolidation Activity for the Ten Most Active
Biotechnology Firms, 1998
(Fulton and Giannakas,
2001)
Company
Mergers
Acquisitions
Joint
Other
Total
Ventures
Monsanto
1
15
4
17
37
AgriBiotech
1
30
0
5
36
Novartis
3
21
1
0
25
AgrEvo/Aventis
2
15
3
2
22
AstraZeneca
0
14
1
1
16
Limagrain
0
15
0
1
16
Empressa La Moderna
1
10
0
5
16
Rhone-Poulenc Agro
3
6
2
2
13
DuPont
0
3
2
8
13
DeKalb Genetics
0
11
0
0
11
Total
[added by author]
11
140
13
41
205
Note. From "Impact of Industry Concentration on
Innovation in the
2.14 The final actor in the biotech sector is government, or more properly the public sector at all levels and in many different forms. These varying forms include: national and regional research councils as well as specialized research institutes; departments and agencies of government (national and regional) including their regulatory activities and direct grants to industry, development of intellectual property laws and regulations protecting new biotech knowledge; publicly funded universities and colleges; and, national systems of innovation (OECD 1997)
2.15 To put the public sector contribution in perspective, in 1997 total Canadian biotech R&D spending amounted to $Cdn 770 million of which the federal government accounted for $314 million (41%) not including R&D in support of regulations while private industry contributed $341 million (44%), and, not-for-profit institutes contributed $115 million (15%) (Industry Canada 1998, p.4).
2.16 Biotech research represented about 10% of the entire federal government research budget in 1997. Of a total of $Cdn 314 million spent on biotech R&D: the Medical Research Council accounted for $104 million (33%); the National Research Council $90 million (29%); the federal department of Agriculture and Agri-Food $40 million (13%); and, other federal departments and agencies $80 million (25%) (Research & Analysis 2000, p. 14).
2.17
Thus publicly funded research
councils and specialized research institutes are very active in supporting
‘pure’ and ‘applied’ biotechnology research. As noted by Phillips and Khachatourians
(2001) about development of genetically modified canola in Canadian agricultural
biotech, the National Research Council of Canada played a leadership role in the
1950 to 1985 period. In February
2000 the Government of Canada announced $160 million in funding to Genome
2.18
In addition to support to
research councils, government departments and agencies make industrial R&D
and other grants to individual biotech companies. Furthermore, the public sector spends on
regulatory activities to ensure, among other things, bio-engineered food and
drug safety. At present data is not
available about the total amount of public grants to the private sector nor the
cost of biotech regulatory activities in
2.19 Intellectual property rights, especially patents, serve as the legal foundation for the industrial organization of the biotech sector. Such rights are established by national governments and are subject to certain restraints through international treaties and conventions. The development of biotech patents and related intellectual property rights has been crucial to the development of the biotech sector and is the result of public sector decision-making. More will be said about the role of intellectual properties under Conduct (below).
2.20
The final strand in public
support to the biotech sector is the national system of innovation (NSI). Phillips and Khachatourians (2001),
quoting Metcalfe, define a NSI as “that set of distinct institutions which
jointly and individually contribute to the development and diffusion of new
technology and which provides the framework within which governments form and
implement policies to influence the innovation process. As such it is a system of interconnected
institutions to create, store and transfer the knowledge, skills and artifacts
which define new technologies.”
Subsequently, the OECD formalized the concept of
2.21
Governments around the world
are now consciously designing NSI’s in an effort to enhance their
competitiveness (Pagan 1999). The
biotech sector is one of the chief objects of such NSI’s. However, the role of multinational
corporations is generating stresses and strains on the successful operation of