The following is an abstract of a paper which was delivered at the 46th Meeting of the ISSS, Shanghai, PRC, Aug. 2 to 6.

 

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Developing An Ecological Quality Index

 

Authors: Mitchel F. Bloom, Ph.D., Gordon A. Robilliard, Ph.D., Ted P. Winfield, Ph.D. and Frederick G. Wolf, Ph.D.

 

Abstract

 

An ecological quality index (Index) was developed which could indicate the degree of estuarine wetlands restoration of a 13 hectare (32 acre) piece of industrial land, cleaned from industrial pollution, level in contour and rather barren in appearance.  Using a team of environmental scientists and engineers and  systematically eliciting their expert judgments,  ten key parameters of an estuarine marsh were defined, weighted and scaled. The Index was then computed and used to project over twenty years the ecological quality of the site as envisioned by the team.  In addition to the forecast, the 95% confidence level  bandwidth of the Index was projected as well as the effects of various natural disaster scenarios on the Index.  Applications of the methodology to other ecological sites are discussed.

Key words: ecological  quality index restoration estuarine wetlands.